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Costa Amalfi vs Palmese 1914

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Moar S.
84'
Massa F.
86' Event
Puca A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Costa Amalfi and Palmese 1914 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Costa Amalfi
33%
Draws
27%
Palmese 1914
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Costa Amalfi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palmese 1914 come out ahead of Costa Amalfi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Costa Amalfi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Costa Amalfi Clean Sheet 68%
Palmese 1914 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Amalfi Palmese 1914
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Costa Amalfi vs Palmese 1914
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Palmese 1914 vs Costa Amalfi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Amalfi Compare

Top Goalscorer Moar S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Celia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Palmese 1914 Compare

Top Goalscorer Puca A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magliocca D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Amalfi 50 / 100
Palmese 1914 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Amalfi Palmese 1914

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Palmese 1914 conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Palmese 1914 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Costa Amalfi scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Palmese 1914
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Casarano342111272:3074
2Nocerina342010464:2770
3Martina Calcio341711648:2862
4Fidelis Andria34169941:2957
5Citta di Fasano3413111045:3250
6Matera341213951:4749
7Virtus Francavilla3412111141:3447
8A.C.D. Nardo341381347:4547
9Ischia3411121139:4545
10Palmese 19143410121241:4542
11Gravina341191443:4642
12Francavilla341181528:3441
13Acerrana341181537:5041
14ASD Ugento341071733:5137
15Manfredonia348111533:5135
16Brindisi349141144:4327
17Angri34682035:6926
18Costa Amalfi343112026:6220