Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa Amalfi vs Virtus Francavilla

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Sirri A.
40' Event
Gjonaj E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Costa Amalfi and Virtus Francavilla finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virtus Francavilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Costa Amalfi
15%
Draws
67%
Virtus Francavilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Francavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Virtus Francavilla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Virtus Francavilla taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Costa Amalfi Clean Sheet 19%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Amalfi Virtus Francavilla
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 17
Draws 10 8
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.8 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.8 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Costa Amalfi vs Virtus Francavilla
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Costa Amalfi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Amalfi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Virtus Francavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Sirri A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Amalfi 10 / 100
Virtus Francavilla 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Amalfi Virtus Francavilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Francavilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Francavilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Costa Amalfi found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Costa Amalfi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Virtus Francavilla
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Amalfi

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Costa Amalfi
1 : 4
Acerrana
17 Apr
Costa Amalfi
0 : 2
Gravina
12 Apr
Ischia
1 : 1
Costa Amalfi
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 6

Virtus Francavilla

(Away)
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
Brindisi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1
Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)