Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu

Bartolome Mitre

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Costa Brava play Bartolome Mitre in the Torneo Federal 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Costa Brava averaged 0.9 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Bartolome Mitre averaged 0.86 goals scored and 0.62 conceded. In past meetings, Costa Brava won 0, Bartolome Mitre won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 12, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.51 for Costa Brava and 0.94 for Bartolome Mitre. This points to a Bartolome Mitre double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Costa Brava

35%

Draws

35%

Bartolome Mitre

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bartolome Mitre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Costa Brava picked up more points recently compared to Bartolome Mitre.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.51 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 54%

Over 2.5 Goals 21%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Costa Brava Clean Sheet 24%

Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 22%

First Half Goal 49%

Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Costa Brava	Bartolome Mitre
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	8	11
Draws	12	10
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	0.9	0.86
Goals Conceded	0.87	0.62
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Torneo Federal

Costa Brava vs Bartolome Mitre

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Oct 5, 2025 Torneo Federal

Bartolome Mitre vs Costa Brava

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Brava 32 / 100

Bartolome Mitre 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Costa Brava Bartolome Mitre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bartolome Mitre or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +40.1%

6.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Costa Brava attacking → ← attacking Bartolome Mitre

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Brava scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Bartolome Mitre let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Costa Brava went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bartolome Mitre lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 43

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38