Sport Picks
Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu, General Pico 
Match Events
22'
22'
Vivani J.
30'
30'
Alles A.
47'
47'
Alferez B.
AI Match Summary
Deportivo Rincon in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Rincon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Costa Brava
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Deportivo Rincon have won more games recently than Costa Brava.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Costa Brava taking it.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Deportivo Rincon here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Costa Brava Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Rincon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Costa Brava | Deportivo Rincon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava
1:1
Jul 25, 2026 Torneo Federal
Costa Brava vs Deportivo Rincon
0:1
May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Costa Brava Compare
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Deportivo Rincon Compare
Top Goalscorer Rossi J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Costa Brava 51 / 100
Deportivo Rincon 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Costa Brava Deportivo Rincon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Costa Brava scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Solid form: Costa Brava remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Deportivo Rincon conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Costa Brava VS Deportivo Rincon
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Costa Brava
(Home) 20 Sept
Costa Brava
1 : 0 Sol de Mayo
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3 Costa Brava
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1 Costa Brava
30 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 2 Juventud U.U.
22 Aug
Circulo Deportivo
0 : 1 Costa Brava
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Costa Brava
1 : 0 Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 2 Juventud U.U.
16 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 0 Guillermo Brown
08 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 1 Germinal
25 Jul
Costa Brava
0 : 1 Deportivo Rincon
Page 1 of 3
Deportivo Rincon
(Away) 20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0 Santamarina
13 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1 Costa Brava
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
23 Aug
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 0 Juventud U.U.
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
16 Aug
San Martin Mendoza
1 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
08 Aug
Sol de Mayo
2 : 4 Deportivo Rincon
25 Jul
Costa Brava
0 : 1 Deportivo Rincon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
