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Costa Brava vs Sol de Mayo

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu, General Pico
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Costa Brava host Sol de Mayo in the Torneo Federal. This one's hard to separate. Costa Brava have averaged 0.94 scored and 0.87 conceded recently, against Sol de Mayo's 0.83 scored and 1.34 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.00) point toward Costa Brava. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Costa Brava
15%
Draws
20%
Sol de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Costa Brava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Costa Brava at 0.94 per game, Sol de Mayo at 0.83.
  • Model gives Costa Brava a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Costa Brava Clean Sheet 20%
Sol de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Brava Sol de Mayo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 14 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.94 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Brava 85 / 100
Sol de Mayo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Brava Sol de Mayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa Brava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Brava's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sol de Mayo has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Costa Brava remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Sol de Mayo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Costa Brava VS Sol de Mayo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Brava

(Home)
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3
Costa Brava
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1
Costa Brava
30 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 2
Juventud U.U.
22 Aug
Circulo Deportivo
0 : 1
Costa Brava
16 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 0
Guillermo Brown
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Sol de Mayo

(Away)
13 Sept
Sol de Mayo
0 : 1
Juventud U.U.
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
0 : 2
Guillermo Brown
23 Aug
Fundacion Amigos
2 : 0
Sol de Mayo
16 Aug
Sol de Mayo
1 : 0
Germinal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnasia E.R. 7 4 2 1 9:1 14
2 Boca Unidos 7 4 2 1 11:4 14
3 Defensores de Vilelas 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
4 Atletico Escobar 7 3 2 2 7:9 11
5 El Linqueno 7 2 4 1 5:3 10
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 7 2 3 2 7:3 9
7 Independiente Chivilcoy 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
8 Sarmiento Resistencia 7 2 0 5 4:13 6
9 Tucuman Central 8 0 2 6 8:21 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Mendoza 8 4 3 1 9:6 15
2 Fundacion Amigos 8 4 2 2 7:4 14
3 Germinal 8 3 4 1 10:5 13
4 Costa Brava 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
5 Juventud U.U. 8 4 1 3 7:6 13
6 Deportivo Rincon 8 3 3 2 8:5 12
7 Guillermo Brown 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
8 Circulo Deportivo 8 2 2 4 4:7 8
9 Santamarina 8 2 0 6 6:13 6
10 Sol de Mayo 8 2 0 6 6:13 6
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)