Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Costa do Sol in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Costa do Sol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Costa do Sol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Costa do Sol lately — more wins on the board than Ferroviario Nacala.
- Model gives Costa do Sol a 64% chance of winning this.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario Nacala Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Costa do Sol | Ferroviario Nacala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 0.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.74 | 0.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.32 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 5, 2026 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Nacala
3:0
Nov 12, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Nacala
0:0
Aug 5, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Costa do Sol
1:1
Nov 5, 2023 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Costa do Sol
3:4
Jul 1, 2023 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Nacala
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Costa do Sol 77 / 100
Ferroviario Nacala 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Costa do Sol Ferroviario Nacala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Costa do Sol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Costa do Sol scored in 67% of their last 27 games.
Costa do Sol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Ferroviario Nacala registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Costa do Sol VS Ferroviario Nacala
1.5 Goals Scored 0.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Costa do Sol
(Home) 16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1 Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0 Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0 Associacao Black Bulls
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1 Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0 Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0 Associacao Black Bulls
11 Aug
Costa do Sol
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
05 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
Page 1 of 3
Ferroviario Nacala
(Away) 16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
17 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 1 Associacao Black Bulls
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
10 Aug
Maxaquene
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
05 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 24:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 34 |
| 4 | UD Songo | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 20:13 | 28 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Maputo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 13:11 | 23 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Maxaquene | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 8:23 | 10 |
| 14 | Chingale de Tete | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 4:17 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
