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Costa Rica U20 vs USA U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Sanchez C.
21'
Aguilar D.
36' Event
Ramos R.
Assist: Shaw A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Costa Rica U20
15%
Draws
37%
USA U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Costa Rica U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Costa Rica U20 haven't matched USA U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans USA U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • USA U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor USA U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • USA U20 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Costa Rica U20 Clean Sheet 10%
USA U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica U20 USA U20
Matches Played 34 39
Wins 12 27
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.53 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.12 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 CONCACAF Championship U20
Costa Rica U20 vs USA U20
0:2
Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Costa Rica U20 vs USA U20
0:4
Nov 15, 2025 Friendly International
Costa Rica U20 vs USA U20
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
USA U20 vs Costa Rica U20
1:0
Jun 28, 2022 CONCACAF Championship U20
USA U20 vs Costa Rica U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

USA U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Applewhite C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica U20 26 / 100
USA U20 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica U20 USA U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Costa Rica U20 scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Costa Rica U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

USA U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 39 matches.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica U20 VS USA U20
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica U20

(Home)
07 Aug
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
USA U20
04 Aug
Costa Rica U20
2 : 1
Haiti U20
30 Jul
Costa Rica U20
4 : 1
Antigua and Barbuda U20
28 Jul
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
24 Jul
Guatemala U20
0 : 1
Costa Rica U20
Page 1 of 7

USA U20

(Away)
04 Oct
Denmark U20
3 : 3
USA U20
01 Oct
Brazil U20
2 : 0
USA U20
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
07 Aug
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
USA U20
05 Aug
USA U20
3 : 1
Guatemala U20
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Costa Rica U20 2
Haiti U20 1
USA U20 3
Guatemala U20 1
Canada U20 3
Jamaica U20 1
Mexico U20 4
Panama U20 0
Semi-finals
Costa Rica U20 0
USA U20 2
Canada U20 1
Mexico U20 2
Final
USA U20 0
Mexico U20 2