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Costa Rica U20 W vs Canada U20 W

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Costa Rica U20 W play Canada U20 W in the Friendly International Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Costa Rica U20 W averaged 2.45 goals scored and 2.45 conceded. Canada U20 W averaged 4.86 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Costa Rica U20 W won 1, Canada U20 W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 16, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Costa Rica U20 W and 4.00 for Canada U20 W. This points to a Canada U20 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Costa Rica U20 W
15%
Draws
51%
Canada U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canada U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Costa Rica U20 W picked up more points recently compared to Canada U20 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Costa Rica U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Canada U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica U20 W Canada U20 W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 1 2
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 2.45 4.86
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 7.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica U20 W vs Canada U20 W
1:3
Apr 13, 2026 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica U20 W vs Canada U20 W
0:3
Jun 4, 2023 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
Canada U20 W vs Costa Rica U20 W
5:3
Jan 18, 2018 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
Costa Rica U20 W vs Canada U20 W
1:3
Jan 30, 2010 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
Canada U20 W vs Costa Rica U20 W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Canada U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bailey S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarasco L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 6.82
Avg xA / game 4.17

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica U20 W 33 / 100
Canada U20 W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica U20 W Canada U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Canada U20 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Costa Rica U20 W attacking → ← attacking Canada U20 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Rica U20 W scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Canada U20 W let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Costa Rica U20 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Canada U20 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 53
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 7.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00