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Costa Rica vs Chapadao Prediction & H2H Stats

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Sul-Matogrossense 2023
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AI Match Summary

Costa Rica in this Sul-Matogrossense 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Costa Rica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Costa Rica
35%
Draws
45%
Chapadao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chapadao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Chapadao average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of Costa Rica's 1.19.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Costa Rica here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 20%
Chapadao Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica Chapadao
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Costa Rica
3:4
Jan 22, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Chapadao
2:0
Apr 20, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Costa Rica
0:1
Mar 31, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Chapadao
1:2
Feb 26, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Chapadao
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica 32 / 100
Chapadao 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica Chapadao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chapadao conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Costa Rica found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (36 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Costa Rica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica

(Home)
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
21 Feb
Bataguassu
2 : 0
Costa Rica
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Feb
Operario MS
0 : 0
Costa Rica
08 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Aguia Negra
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Chapadao

(Away)
02 Apr
Ivinhema
2 : 4
Chapadao
26 Mar
Chapadao
0 : 3
Ivinhema
12 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Chapadao
05 Mar
Chapadao
1 : 1
Coxim
03 Mar
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Chapadao
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 6 1 1 15:6 19
2 Operario MS 8 5 0 3 13:8 15
3 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Coxim 8 2 2 4 4:11 8
5 Comercial MS 8 0 2 6 4:12 2
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 6 1 1 11:5 19
2 Ivinhema 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
3 Novoperario 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
4 Aquidauanense 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Operario AC 8 1 2 5 9:15 5
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)