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Costa Rica vs Curacao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
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Match Events

3' Event
Sinclair O.
Assist: Galo O.
23' Event
Mora C.
44'
Mendez J.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Costa Rica and Curacao finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curacao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Costa Rica
15%
Draws
53%
Curacao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Curacao come out ahead of Costa Rica on wins alone.
  • Model gives Curacao a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 14%
Curacao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica Curacao
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.97 2
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Costa Rica vs Curacao
3:4
Nov 14, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Curacao vs Costa Rica
1:2
Oct 14, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Costa Rica vs Curacao
0:0
Feb 27, 1950 Central American & Caribbean Games
Curacao vs Costa Rica
0:1
Dec 20, 2046 Central American & Caribbean Games
Costa Rica vs Curacao
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Mora C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sinclair O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Curacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorre K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chong T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica 15 / 100
Curacao 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica Curacao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curacao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Costa Rica scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Curacao conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Costa Rica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica VS Curacao
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica

(Home)
05 Oct
Costa Rica
2 : 0
Haiti
02 Oct
Nicaragua
0 : 3
Costa Rica
27 Sept
Haiti
2 : 0
Costa Rica
25 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 4
Curacao
10 Jun
England
3 : 0
Costa Rica
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Curacao

(Away)
04 Oct
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 1
Curacao
01 Oct
Curacao
1 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
28 Sept
Curacao
6 : 1
Nicaragua
25 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 4
Curacao
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 3 0 1 8:8 9
4 Costa Rica 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
5 Trinidad & Tobago 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
6 Nicaragua 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guatemala 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
2 Jamaica 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Suriname 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Honduras 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Martinique 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
6 El Salvador 4 1 1 2 4:10 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)