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Costa Rica vs Haiti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
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Match Events

6' Event
Mora C.
Assist: Matarrita R.
21' Event
Soto A.
Assist: Matarrita R.
32'
Lacroix D.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Costa Rica and Haiti finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Costa Rica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Costa Rica
15%
Draws
51%
Haiti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haiti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Haiti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 11%
Haiti Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica Haiti
Matches Played 34 37
Wins 15 20
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.18 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Costa Rica vs Haiti
2:0
Sep 27, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Haiti vs Costa Rica
2:0
Nov 14, 2025 World Championship
Haiti vs Costa Rica
1:0
Sep 10, 2025 World Championship
Costa Rica vs Haiti
3:3
Nov 17, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Costa Rica vs Haiti
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Mora C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soto A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Haiti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica 30 / 100
Haiti 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica Haiti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Rica found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Haiti conceded in 62% of 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Costa Rica stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica VS Haiti
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica

(Home)
05 Oct
Costa Rica
2 : 0
Haiti
02 Oct
Nicaragua
0 : 3
Costa Rica
27 Sept
Haiti
2 : 0
Costa Rica
25 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 4
Curacao
10 Jun
England
3 : 0
Costa Rica
Page 1 of 7

Haiti

(Away)
05 Oct
Costa Rica
2 : 0
Haiti
02 Oct
Dominican Republic
1 : 4
Haiti
27 Sept
Haiti
2 : 0
Costa Rica
25 Sept
Haiti
3 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 3 0 1 8:8 9
4 Costa Rica 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
5 Trinidad & Tobago 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
6 Nicaragua 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guatemala 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
2 Jamaica 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Suriname 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Honduras 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Martinique 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
6 El Salvador 4 1 1 2 4:10 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)