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Costa Rica vs Operario MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Henrique de Lima M.

AI Match Summary

Costa Rica host Operario MS in the Sul-Matogrossense 2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Costa Rica have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Operario MS's 1.5 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Operario MS slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.42 - 1.30) back Operario MS to edge this. Operario MS in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Costa Rica
44%
Draws
20%
Operario MS
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Operario MS has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Costa Rica.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Sul-Matogrossense 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 19%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica Operario MS
Matches Played 37 53
Wins 10 28
Draws 14 15
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Costa Rica
0:0
Mar 9, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Costa Rica
3:1
Mar 6, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Operario MS
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Costa Rica
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Operario MS
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Operario MS Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique de Lima M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica 36 / 100
Operario MS 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica Operario MS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OPE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Rica scored in 65% of their last 37 games.

Operario MS let in goals in 64% of their last 53 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Costa Rica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Operario MS lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Operario MS
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ivinhema-
TBD-
Dourados3
Aguia Negra4
Pantanal-
TBD-
Operario MS4
Costa Rica1
Semi-finals
Ivinhema5
Aguia Negra1
Pantanal3
Operario MS4
Final
Ivinhema0
Operario MS2