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Costa Rica vs Pantanal Prediction & H2H Stats

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Sul-Matogrossense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Cleiton
69' Event
Neto P.

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2025 game between Costa Rica and Pantanal finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Costa Rica
35%
Draws
26%
Pantanal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Costa Rica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Pantanal's 1.4 goals per match outpaces what Costa Rica have produced (1.09).
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 20%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica Pantanal
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 12 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.09 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Costa Rica
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Pantanal
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Costa Rica
0:0
Jan 28, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Pantanal
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleiton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pantanal Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica 31 / 100
Pantanal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica Pantanal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa Rica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Rica scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Pantanal has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Solid form: Costa Rica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica VS Pantanal
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica

(Home)
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
21 Feb
Bataguassu
2 : 0
Costa Rica
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Feb
Operario MS
0 : 0
Costa Rica
08 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Aguia Negra
Page 1 of 7

Pantanal

(Away)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivinhema 9 6 1 2 21:7 19
2 Pantanal 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
3 Dourados 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
4 Operario MS 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
5 Costa Rica 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Aguia Negra 9 3 2 4 14:14 11
7 Naviraiense 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Corumbaense 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
9 Coxim 9 2 1 6 7:18 7
10 Aquidauanense 9 1 1 7 12:29 4
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 (Main)