Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica

Uruguay

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Costa Rica play Uruguay in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Costa Rica averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Uruguay averaged 1.16 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, Costa Rica won 3, Uruguay won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 1, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Costa Rica and 1.19 for Uruguay. This points to a Uruguay double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Costa Rica

34%

Draws

33%

Uruguay

Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Uruguay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Costa Rica picked up more points recently compared to Uruguay.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Costa Rica Clean Sheet 20%

Uruguay Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Costa Rica	Uruguay
Matches Played	32	31
Wins	11	11
Draws	11	14
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	1.78	1.16
Goals Conceded	1.34	0.77
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 Friendly International

Costa Rica vs Uruguay

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Sep 7, 2019 Friendly International

Costa Rica vs Uruguay

Possession: 46% - 60% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

Sep 9, 2015 Friendly International

Costa Rica vs Uruguay

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Nov 13, 2014 Friendly International

Uruguay vs Costa Rica

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 0 - 4

3:4

Jun 14, 2014 World Championship

Uruguay vs Costa Rica

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 4 - 1

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica 34 / 100

Uruguay 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Costa Rica Uruguay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Uruguay or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Costa Rica attacking → ← attacking Uruguay

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Rica scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Uruguay let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Costa Rica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Uruguay lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 47

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00