Sport Picks

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Costa Rica W vs Ecuador W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Caicedo J.
23' Event
Bolanos N.
45' Event
Alvarado K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Costa Rica W
6%
Draws
4%
Ecuador W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Costa Rica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ecuador W lately — more wins on the board than Costa Rica W.
  • Costa Rica W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ecuador W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Costa Rica W Clean Sheet 68%
Ecuador W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica W Ecuador W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 4.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 4.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2025 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica W vs Ecuador W
3:3
Apr 5, 2025 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica W vs Ecuador W
0:1
Jul 19, 2015 Pan American Games Women
Ecuador W vs Costa Rica W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarado K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herrera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.65
Avg xA / game 2.38

Ecuador W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolanos N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moreira L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica W 95 / 100
Ecuador W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica W Ecuador W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador W let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Costa Rica W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Costa Rica W scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica W VS Ecuador W
4.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica W

(Home)
10 Jun
Costa Rica W
0 : 6
Canada W
06 Jun
El Salvador W
1 : 1
Costa Rica W
19 Apr
Costa Rica W
3 : 0
Guatemala W
11 Apr
Costa Rica W
21 : 0
Cayman Islands W
03 Mar
Bermuda W
0 : 8
Costa Rica W
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Ecuador W

(Away)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
10 Apr
Paraguay W
2 : 0
Ecuador W
07 Mar
Ecuador W
1 : 1
Uruguay W
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