Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa Rica W vs Guatemala W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Villalobos G.
63' Event
Scott S.
Assist: Benavidez M.
88' Event
Chinchilla P.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Championship Women game between Costa Rica W and Guatemala W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Costa Rica W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Costa Rica W
30%
Draws
34%
Guatemala W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Costa Rica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Guatemala W haven't matched Costa Rica W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Costa Rica W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Costa Rica W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Costa Rica W Clean Sheet 68%
Guatemala W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica W Guatemala W
Matches Played 38 34
Wins 18 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 4.75 3.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 4.75 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 CONCACAF Championship Women
Costa Rica W vs Guatemala W
3:0
Apr 13, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women
Costa Rica W vs Guatemala W
5:0
Jun 15, 2021 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica W vs Guatemala W
4:1
Jun 13, 2021 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica W vs Guatemala W
3:1
Oct 6, 2011 Olympic Games Women
Guatemala W vs Costa Rica W
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalobos G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scott S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.65
Avg xA / game 2.38

Guatemala W Compare

Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica W 46 / 100
Guatemala W 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica W Guatemala W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Costa Rica W's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Guatemala W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Costa Rica W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica W VS Guatemala W
4.75 Goals Scored 3.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica W

(Home)
10 Jun
Costa Rica W
0 : 6
Canada W
06 Jun
El Salvador W
1 : 1
Costa Rica W
19 Apr
Costa Rica W
3 : 0
Guatemala W
11 Apr
Costa Rica W
21 : 0
Cayman Islands W
03 Mar
Bermuda W
0 : 8
Costa Rica W
Page 1 of 8

Guatemala W

(Away)
09 Jun
Guatemala W
1 : 5
El Salvador W
19 Apr
Costa Rica W
3 : 0
Guatemala W
07 Mar
Cayman Islands W
0 : 13
Guatemala W
01 Mar
Guatemala W
6 : 0
Grenada W
02 Dec
Guatemala W
4 : 1
Bermuda W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico W440036:012
2Puerto Rico W430126:69
3Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W42022:246
4United States Virgin Islands W41033:203
5Saint Lucia W40041:180
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamaica W440027:212
2Nicaragua W430123:49
3Guyana W42028:56
4Antigua and Barbuda W40131:131
5Dominica W40131:361
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Costa Rica W440034:112
2Guatemala W430123:49
3Bermuda W420210:156
4Grenada W41037:143
5Cayman Islands W40041:410
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti W431017:110
2Dominican Republic W422017:48
3Belize W42025:156
4Suriname W41125:74
5Anguilla W40041:180
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama W440015:212
2Cuba W42116:57
3Aruba W42029:66
4Curacao W41034:163
5Saint Kitts and Nevis W40134:91
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador W330018:09
2Trinidad & Tobago W31117:44
3Honduras W31116:54
4Barbados W30030:220
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)