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Costa Rica W vs Panama W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Estadio Rommel Fernandez
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Costa Rica W play Panama W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Costa Rica W averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Panama W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Costa Rica W won 2, Panama W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 27, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for Costa Rica W and 2.38 for Panama W. This points to a Panama W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Costa Rica W
15%
Draws
49%
Panama W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panama W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Costa Rica W picked up more points recently compared to Panama W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.75 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Costa Rica W Clean Sheet 10%
Panama W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica W Panama W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 2.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 4.75 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2024 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica W vs Panama W
1:2
Oct 30, 2024 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica W vs Panama W
0:2
Oct 27, 2024 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica W vs Panama W
0:1
Jul 5, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women
Costa Rica W vs Panama W
3:0
Sep 22, 2021 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica W vs Panama W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica W Compare

Avg xG / game 3.65
Avg xA / game 2.38

Panama W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cox M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gil Gray A. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica W 34 / 100
Panama W 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica W Panama W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Panama W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Costa Rica W attacking → ← attacking Panama W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Rica W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Panama W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Costa Rica W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Panama W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 47
4.75 Goals expected (xG) 3.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75