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Stadium Background

Cottbus II vs Lichtenrader

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2009/2010 game between Cottbus II and Lichtenrader finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cottbus II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cottbus II
20%
Draws
40%
Lichtenrader
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Cottbus II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lichtenrader a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cottbus II Clean Sheet 20%
Lichtenrader Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cottbus II Lichtenrader
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 2.12 1
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2010 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Cottbus II vs Lichtenrader
8:1
Sep 27, 2009 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenrader vs Cottbus II
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cottbus II 28 / 100
Lichtenrader 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cottbus II Lichtenrader

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lichtenrader Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cottbus II scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Lichtenrader has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Away concern: Lichtenrader has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cottbus II VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cottbus II

(Home)
12 Jun
Wismut Gera
3 : 1
Cottbus II
05 Jun
Cottbus II
1 : 1
Inter Leipzig
21 May
Cottbus II
3 : 4
Markranstadt
15 May
Barleben
5 : 1
Cottbus II
08 May
Cottbus II
2 : 1
Halle
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Lichtenrader

(Away)
13 Jun
FC Gera 03
2 : 0
Lichtenrader
06 Jun
Lichtenrader
1 : 1
FC Gera 03
29 May
Schoneiche
5 : 2
Lichtenrader
22 May
Lichtenrader
2 : 0
Rathenow
12 May
Malchower
5 : 3
Lichtenrader
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cottbus II 30 20 6 4 67:26 66
2 BFC Dynamo 30 17 7 6 70:40 58
3 Brandenburger 30 15 8 7 57:40 53
4 Luckenwalde 30 16 5 9 56:43 53
5 Malchower 30 15 8 7 47:35 53
6 TSG Neustrelitz 30 16 4 10 70:38 52
7 Rathenow 30 13 6 11 43:46 45
8 Torgelower Greif 30 12 8 10 46:35 44
9 Schoneiche 30 11 9 10 45:39 42
10 Berliner AK 07 30 12 6 12 53:51 42
11 Ludwigsfelder 30 10 6 14 42:52 36
12 LFC Berlin 30 8 8 14 40:51 32
13 Reinickendorfer 30 10 2 18 26:46 32
14 Lichtenrader 30 7 3 20 31:79 24
15 Greifswalder FC 30 6 5 19 38:66 23
16 SV Falkensee-Finkenkrug 30 4 5 21 25:69 17
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2009/2010 (Main)