Sport Picks

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Cova De Piedade vs Silves FC

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cova De Piedade play Silves FC in the Taça de Portugal 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cova De Piedade averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Silves FC averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Cova De Piedade won 1, Silves FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 28, 2014 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Cova De Piedade and 2.00 for Silves FC. This points to a Cova De Piedade double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cova De Piedade
16%
Draws
37%
Silves FC
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Cova De Piedade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Cova De Piedade picked up more points recently compared to Silves FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Cova De Piedade Clean Sheet 10%
Silves FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cova De Piedade Silves FC
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 0
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.19 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2014 Taça de Portugal
Cova De Piedade vs Silves FC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cova De Piedade 44 / 100
Silves FC 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cova De Piedade Silves FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cova De Piedade or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cova De Piedade attacking → ← attacking Silves FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cova De Piedade scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Silves FC let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Cova De Piedade went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Silves FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 15
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25