Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Covadonga vs CD Colunga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Arias A.
90' Event
Germanier B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Covadonga and CD Colunga finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Covadonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Covadonga
20%
Draws
44%
CD Colunga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Colunga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Covadonga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Covadonga have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 68%
CD Colunga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Covadonga CD Colunga
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.39 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs CD Colunga
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Covadonga
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Covadonga
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs CD Colunga
3:0
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs CD Colunga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Covadonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Germanier B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

CD Colunga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Covadonga 41 / 100
CD Colunga 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Covadonga CD Colunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Covadonga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Covadonga found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: CD Colunga conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Covadonga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Covadonga VS CD Colunga
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Covadonga

(Home)
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2
Covadonga
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Aviles Stadium
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0
Covadonga
05 Aug
Real Oviedo B
6 : 0
Covadonga
07 Jun
Covadonga
2 : 4
Caudal Deportivo
Page 1 of 7

CD Colunga

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 2
CD Colunga
11 Aug
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Gijon B
10 May
Gijon Industrial
6 : 2
CD Colunga
03 May
CD Colunga
0 : 2
Praviano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)