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Covadonga vs CD Mosconia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Covadonga host CD Mosconia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. CD Mosconia have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Covadonga have conceded 1 and scored 2.37. Head-to-head, Covadonga have won 4 to CD Mosconia's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.56) point toward Covadonga. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Covadonga
35%
Draws
27%
CD Mosconia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Covadonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Covadonga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Covadonga's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Covadonga have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 15%
CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Covadonga CD Mosconia
Matches Played 35 34
Wins 22 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.37 1.29
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs CD Mosconia
2:1
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Covadonga
0:0
Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Covadonga
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs CD Mosconia
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Covadonga
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Covadonga 48 / 100
CD Mosconia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Covadonga CD Mosconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Covadonga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Covadonga found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

Recent resilience: Covadonga stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Defensive concern: CD Mosconia conceded in 50% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Covadonga VS CD Mosconia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Covadonga

(Home)
04 Oct
Covadonga
2 : 1
Club Siero
26 Sept
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Covadonga
20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2
Covadonga
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Aviles Stadium
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CD Mosconia

(Away)
10 Oct
CD Mosconia
2 : 2
Union Club Ceares
04 Oct
Astur
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
26 Sept
CD Mosconia
1 : 0
Andes CF
20 Sept
Condal
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
13 Sept
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Gijon Industrial
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)