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Covadonga vs Condal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga Logo

Covadonga

1 - 1
FT
Condal Logo

Condal

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Arguelles Villa P.
50'
Manuel J.
86' Event
Fassani G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Covadonga and Condal finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Covadonga
35%
Draws
32%
Condal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Covadonga come out ahead of Condal on wins alone.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Covadonga here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 20%
Condal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Covadonga Condal
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.29 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Condal
1:1
Apr 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Condal
5:0
Dec 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Covadonga
0:3
Apr 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Condal
4:0
Dec 4, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Covadonga
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Covadonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Fassani G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Condal Compare

Top Goalscorer Arguelles Villa P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Covadonga 31 / 100
Condal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Covadonga Condal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Covadonga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Covadonga found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Condal has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Covadonga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Covadonga VS Condal
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Covadonga

(Home)
01 Nov
Covadonga
1 : 1
Condal
29 Oct
Covadonga
0 : 1
Valladolid
25 Oct
Gijon Industrial
0 : 2
Covadonga
18 Oct
Covadonga
4 : 0
CD Mosconia
11 Oct
EI San Martin
4 : 2
Covadonga
Page 1 of 7

Condal

(Away)
01 Nov
Covadonga
1 : 1
Condal
25 Oct
Condal
0 : 0
Union Club Ceares
18 Oct
Astur
1 : 1
Condal
11 Oct
Condal
2 : 0
Andes CF
04 Oct
Llanes
1 : 1
Condal
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 9 6 2 1 23:9 20
2 Gijon B 9 6 2 1 16:8 20
3 Caudal Deportivo 9 5 3 1 12:8 18
4 Lealtad 9 5 2 2 13:4 17
5 Condal 9 4 5 0 12:4 17
6 CD Mosconia 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
7 EI San Martin 9 4 3 2 13:13 15
8 Praviano 9 4 2 3 21:14 14
9 Gijon Industrial 9 4 2 3 15:11 14
10 Club Siero 9 4 0 5 11:12 12
11 CD Colunga 9 3 3 3 15:21 12
12 Langreo 9 2 3 4 8:11 9
13 Union Club Ceares 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
14 Aviles Stadium 9 2 2 5 6:13 8
15 Llanes 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
16 Astur 9 0 5 4 9:15 5
17 L Entregu CF 9 1 2 6 5:17 5
18 Andes CF 9 0 3 6 6:18 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)