Sport Picks

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Covadonga vs Lealtad

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Covadonga and Lealtad finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lealtad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Covadonga
20%
Draws
22%
Lealtad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Covadonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Covadonga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Covadonga are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 68%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Covadonga Lealtad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 2.52 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Covadonga vs Lealtad
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Lealtad
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Covadonga
2:3
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Lealtad
2:1
Nov 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Covadonga
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Covadonga 77 / 100
Lealtad 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Covadonga Lealtad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Covadonga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Covadonga scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Lealtad conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Covadonga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Covadonga VS Lealtad
1.75 Goals Scored 0.71
2 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 43%
75% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Covadonga

(Home)
20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2
Covadonga
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Aviles Stadium
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0
Covadonga
05 Aug
Real Oviedo B
6 : 0
Covadonga
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Lealtad

(Away)
20 Sept
Gijon B
1 : 0
Lealtad
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Salamanca CF UDS
2 : 1
Lealtad
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