Sport Picks

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Covadonga vs Lealtad

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Covadonga and Lealtad finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lealtad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Covadonga
22%
Draws
18%
Lealtad
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Covadonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Covadonga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Covadonga are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 68%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Covadonga Lealtad
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 3 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Covadonga vs Lealtad
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Lealtad
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Covadonga
2:3
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Lealtad
2:1
Nov 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Covadonga
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Covadonga 68 / 100
Lealtad 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Covadonga Lealtad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Covadonga scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Lealtad conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Lealtad registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Covadonga VS Lealtad
3 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Covadonga

(Home)
07 Jun
Covadonga
2 : 4
Caudal Deportivo
31 May
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Covadonga
24 May
Covadonga
2 : 1
CD Mosconia
17 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 0
Covadonga
09 May
Covadonga
0 : 2
Real Titanico
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Lealtad

(Away)
03 May
Salamanca CF UDS
2 : 1
Lealtad
26 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 2
Coruxo FC
19 Apr
UD Ourense
3 : 1
Lealtad
12 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 3
Valladolid Promesas
04 Apr
Atletico Astorga
3 : 4
Lealtad
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