Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015

Universidad Oviedo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Covadonga play Universidad Oviedo in the Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015. Covadonga are favorites here. Recently, Covadonga averaged 2.47 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Universidad Oviedo averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Covadonga won 4, Universidad Oviedo won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 17, 2019 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.04 for Covadonga and 0.88 for Universidad Oviedo. This points to a Covadonga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Covadonga

15%

Draws

21%

Universidad Oviedo

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Covadonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Covadonga picked up more points recently compared to Universidad Oviedo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.04 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Covadonga Clean Sheet 25%

Universidad Oviedo Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Covadonga	Universidad Oviedo
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	22	6
Draws	4	8
Losses	6	16
Goals Scored	2.47	0.8
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Universidad Oviedo vs Covadonga

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Oct 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Covadonga vs Universidad Oviedo

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

4:2

Apr 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Covadonga vs Universidad Oviedo

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

4:0

Nov 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Universidad Oviedo vs Covadonga

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

0:3

Mar 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Universidad Oviedo vs Covadonga

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Covadonga 63 / 100

Universidad Oviedo 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Covadonga Universidad Oviedo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Covadonga Win (1)

Secondary Pick Covadonga & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.6%

1.79

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Covadonga attacking → ← attacking Universidad Oviedo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Covadonga scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Universidad Oviedo let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Covadonga went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Universidad Oviedo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 26

2.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Condal	38	26	8	4	67:20	86
2	Caudal Deportivo	38	25	9	4	68:18	84
3	Real Oviedo B	38	23	9	6	82:34	78
4	Tuilla	38	22	8	8	67:31	74
5	Covadonga	38	21	7	10	63:39	70
6	Llanes	38	17	13	8	61:51	64
7	Union Club Ceares	38	16	15	7	51:41	63
8	Praviano	38	14	11	13	47:46	53
9	Basico Urraca	38	12	14	12	50:47	50
10	Atletico de Lugones	38	13	10	15	45:49	49
11	CD Mosconia	38	11	14	13	37:45	47
12	Real Aviles B	38	11	13	14	46:53	46
13	Astur	38	11	13	14	39:52	46
14	Gijon Industrial	38	12	10	16	42:50	46
15	CD Roces	38	11	12	15	37:43	45
16	Andes CF	38	12	7	19	44:60	43
17	L Entregu CF	38	9	11	18	34:54	38
18	Lenense	38	8	5	25	38:72	29
19	Universidad Oviedo	38	5	6	27	30:78	21
20	Cudillero	38	2	3	33	10:75	9