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Cove Rangers vs Formartine Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Keir M.
Assist: Francis-Burrell A.
28' Event
Francis-Burrell A.
Assist: Harrington R.
50' Event
McAllister R.
Assist: Mykyta T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Cove Rangers
15%
Draws
40%
Formartine Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cove Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Formartine Utd lately — more wins on the board than Cove Rangers.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Formartine Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cove Rangers, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cove Rangers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 15%
Formartine Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cove Rangers Formartine Utd
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.56 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2026 Challenge Cup
Cove Rangers vs Formartine Utd
2:1
Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Cove Rangers vs Formartine Utd
2:0
Jul 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Cove Rangers vs Formartine Utd
3:0
Feb 27, 2019 Highland League
Formartine Utd vs Cove Rangers
0:0
Sep 15, 2018 Highland League
Cove Rangers vs Formartine Utd
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cove Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Keir M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Francis-Burrell A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Formartine Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer McAllister R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cove Rangers 35 / 100
Formartine Utd 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cove Rangers Formartine Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Formartine Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cove Rangers's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Formartine Utd conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cove Rangers remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cove Rangers VS Formartine Utd
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cove Rangers

(Home)
13 Oct
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Formartine Utd
10 Oct
Cove Rangers
1 : 1
East Fife
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Aberdeen B
22 Sept
Fraserburgh
0 : 5
Cove Rangers
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Formartine Utd

(Away)
13 Oct
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Formartine Utd
10 Oct
Inverurie Loco Works
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
07 Oct
Formartine Utd
2 : 1
Deveronvale
03 Oct
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 6 5 1 0 17:4 16
2 Ross County 6 5 0 1 30:7 15
3 Airdrieonians 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
4 Cove Rangers 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
5 Peterhead 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
6 East Kilbride 6 4 1 1 19:13 13
7 St. Mirren B 6 4 0 2 19:8 12
8 Elgin City 6 4 0 2 14:3 12
9 Alloa 6 3 3 0 12:5 12
10 Hamilton 6 4 0 2 11:4 12
11 Montrose 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Celtic B 6 3 3 0 18:14 12
13 Queen of the South 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
14 Stirling 6 3 2 1 16:12 11
15 Aberdeen B 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
16 Bonnyrigg Rose 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
17 Edinburgh City 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
18 Berwick 6 3 1 2 11:15 10
19 Annan 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
20 Formartine Utd 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
21 Spartans 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
22 Kelty Hearts 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
23 Hearts B 6 3 0 3 17:29 9
24 Stranraer 6 2 1 3 16:15 7
25 East Fife 6 2 1 3 13:13 7
26 Forfar Athletic 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
27 Banks O' Dee 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
28 Dumbarton 6 2 1 3 10:19 7
29 Rangers B 6 2 0 4 11:11 6
30 Clyde 6 2 0 4 11:15 6
31 Kilmarnock B 6 1 2 3 11:16 5
32 Cumbernauld Colts 6 1 2 3 6:14 5
33 Clachnacuddin 6 1 1 4 11:17 4
34 Fraserburgh 6 1 1 4 7:21 4
35 Dundee FC B 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
36 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
37 Gala Fairydean Rovers 6 0 2 4 3:17 2
38 Hibernian B 6 0 1 5 4:14 1
39 Cowdenbeath 6 0 0 6 6:15 0
40 Motherwell B 6 0 0 6 4:20 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)