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Cove Rangers vs St Johnstone

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Club Friendly
Cove Rangers Logo

Cove Rangers

Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
St Johnstone Logo

St Johnstone

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cove Rangers play St Johnstone in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cove Rangers averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. St Johnstone averaged 1.9 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. In past meetings, Cove Rangers won 1, St Johnstone won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 29, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Cove Rangers and 1.75 for St Johnstone. This points to a St Johnstone double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cove Rangers
29%
Draws
40%
St Johnstone
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: St Johnstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Cove Rangers picked up more points recently compared to St Johnstone.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 12%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cove Rangers St Johnstone
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.57 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Scottish Cup
St Johnstone vs Cove Rangers
1:2
Jul 9, 2022 Club Friendly
St Johnstone vs Cove Rangers
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cove Rangers 30 / 100
St Johnstone 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cove Rangers St Johnstone

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St Johnstone or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cove Rangers attacking → ← attacking St Johnstone

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cove Rangers scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

St Johnstone let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Cove Rangers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

St Johnstone lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 59
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38