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Cove Rangers vs St Johnstone Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Paton R.
33' Event
Oladipo D.
41' Event
Fowler J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Cove Rangers and St Johnstone finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St Johnstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Cove Rangers
20%
Draws
36%
St Johnstone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cove Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Cove Rangers haven't matched St Johnstone's recent run of results.
  • Cove Rangers are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St Johnstone here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cove Rangers St Johnstone
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.55 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Cove Rangers vs St Johnstone
2:4
Nov 29, 2025 Scottish Cup
St Johnstone vs Cove Rangers
1:2
Jul 9, 2022 Club Friendly
St Johnstone vs Cove Rangers
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cove Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Oladipo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist D
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

St Johnstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Paton R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fotheringham K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cove Rangers 49 / 100
St Johnstone 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cove Rangers St Johnstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cove Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Cove Rangers's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

St Johnstone let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Cove Rangers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cove Rangers VS St Johnstone
1.88 Goals Scored 0.71
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cove Rangers

(Home)
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Aberdeen B
22 Sept
Fraserburgh
0 : 5
Cove Rangers
19 Sept
Cove Rangers
0 : 2
Ross County
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1
Cove Rangers
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St Johnstone

(Away)
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
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