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Cove Rangers vs Turriff United

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

Cove Rangers play Turriff United in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cove Rangers averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Turriff United averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Cove Rangers won 5, Turriff United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2025 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Cove Rangers and 1.31 for Turriff United. This points to a Cove Rangers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Cove Rangers
18%
Draws
38%
Turriff United
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Cove Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Cove Rangers picked up more points recently compared to Turriff United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 18%
Turriff United Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cove Rangers Turriff United
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Cove Rangers vs Turriff United
6:0
Jan 5, 2019 Highland League
Turriff United vs Cove Rangers
0:1
Aug 25, 2018 Highland League
Cove Rangers vs Turriff United
3:0
Jan 13, 2018 Highland League
Turriff United vs Cove Rangers
0:4
Sep 13, 2017 Highland League
Cove Rangers vs Turriff United
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cove Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Turriff United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cove Rangers 43 / 100
Turriff United 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cove Rangers Turriff United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cove Rangers or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cove Rangers attacking → ← attacking Turriff United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cove Rangers scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Turriff United let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Cove Rangers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Turriff United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 45
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25