Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coventry U23 vs Ipswich U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022
Tue, May 10, 2022
5 - 4
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bapaga W.
15' Event
Hughes T.
29' Event
Humphreys C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-4, with Coventry U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Coventry U23
15%
Draws
42%
Ipswich U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coventry U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Coventry U23's 2.57 goals per match outpaces what Ipswich U23 have produced (2.23).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Coventry U23 taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Ipswich U23, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Coventry U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Ipswich U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coventry U23 Ipswich U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.57 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2022 Professional Development League
Coventry U23 vs Ipswich U23
5:4
Aug 16, 2021 Professional Development League
Ipswich U23 vs Coventry U23
1:2
Nov 10, 2020 Professional Development League
Ipswich U23 vs Coventry U23
1:1
Jan 27, 2020 Professional Development League
Coventry U23 vs Ipswich U23
0:3
Oct 28, 2019 Professional Development League
Ipswich U23 vs Coventry U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coventry U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bapaga W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rus M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ipswich U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Humphreys C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coventry U23 40 / 100
Ipswich U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coventry U23 Ipswich U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coventry U23 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ipswich U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Coventry U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coventry U23 VS Ipswich U23
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coventry U23

(Home)
17 May
Bristol City U23
2 : 3
Coventry U23
10 May
Coventry U23
5 : 4
Ipswich U23
03 May
Bristol City U23
4 : 2
Coventry U23
28 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 4
Coventry U23
25 Apr
Coventry U23
1 : 2
Cardiff U23
Page 1 of 6

Ipswich U23

(Away)
10 May
Coventry U23
5 : 4
Ipswich U23
03 May
Ipswich U23
3 : 0
Sheffield Utd U23
29 Apr
Peterborough U23
0 : 2
Ipswich U23
12 Apr
Bristol City U23
0 : 1
Ipswich U23
05 Apr
Ipswich U23
0 : 1
Hull City U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sheffield Utd U23 0
Bristol City U23 1
Coventry U23 5
Ipswich U23 4
Final
Bristol City U23 2
Coventry U23 3