Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Onyeka F.
Assist: Esse R.
29'
29'
Travis L.
38'
38'
Brereton Diaz B.
Assist: Clarke M.
AI Match Summary
Coventry in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coventry.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coventry
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Very High Confidence
- Derby haven't matched Coventry's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Coventry taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Coventry Clean Sheet 20%
Derby Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coventry | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Championship
Coventry vs Derby
3:2
Aug 16, 2025 Championship
Derby vs Coventry
3:5
Mar 11, 2025 Championship
Derby vs Coventry
2:0
Nov 6, 2024 Championship
Coventry vs Derby
1:2
Mar 19, 2022 Championship
Derby vs Coventry
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coventry Compare
Top Goalscorer Rudoni J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Onyeka F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Derby Compare
Top Goalscorer Brereton Diaz B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coventry 85 / 100
Derby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coventry Derby
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick COV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Coventry went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Coventry scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Derby let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Coventry VS Derby
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Coventry
(Home) 18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0 Coventry
02 May
Watford
0 : 4 Coventry
26 Apr
Coventry
3 : 1 Wrexham
21 Apr
Coventry
5 : 1 Portsmouth
17 Apr
Blackburn
1 : 1 Coventry
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Coventry
3 : 1 Wrexham
21 Apr
Coventry
5 : 1 Portsmouth
11 Apr
Coventry
0 : 0 Sheffield Wed
03 Apr
Coventry
3 : 2 Derby
14 Mar
Coventry
1 : 2 Southampton
Page 1 of 3
Derby
(Away) 04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 Derby
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
31 Jul
Mansfield
1 : 3 Derby
28 Jul
Derby
1 : 2 Valencia
24 Jul
Freiburg
3 : 1 Derby
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 Derby
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
31 Jul
Mansfield
1 : 3 Derby
24 Jul
Freiburg
3 : 1 Derby
17 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 2 Derby
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
