Sport Picks
Covilha vs Atletico CP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Estádio José Santos Pinto, Covilhã 
Match Events
22'
22'
Martins J.
23'
23'
Innusah H.
27'
27'
Dias R.
AI Match Summary
Atletico CP in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico CP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
35%
53%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico CP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Atletico CP lately — more wins on the board than Covilha.
- Model gives Atletico CP a 53% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Covilha Clean Sheet 11%
Atletico CP Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Covilha | Atletico CP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 17 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Liga 3
Covilha vs Atletico CP
0:3
Apr 12, 2026 Liga 3
Covilha vs Atletico CP
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Covilha
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 Liga 3
Covilha vs Atletico CP
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Covilha
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Covilha Compare
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
Atletico CP Compare
Top Goalscorer Martins J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Suker H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Covilha 10 / 100
Atletico CP 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Covilha Atletico CP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico CP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Covilha has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Covilha's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Atletico CP has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Covilha VS Atletico CP
0.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Covilha
(Home) 01 Nov
Covilha
0 : 1 Caldas SC
25 Oct
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 1 Covilha
10 Oct
Covilha
0 : 0 Oliveirense
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2 Covilha
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0 Covilha
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Covilha
0 : 1 Caldas SC
10 Oct
Covilha
0 : 0 Oliveirense
30 Aug
Covilha
0 : 1 Mortagua FC
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3 Atletico CP
08 Aug
Covilha
2 : 0 Santarem
Page 1 of 3
Atletico CP
(Away) 31 Oct
Atletico CP
3 : 1 Santarem
25 Oct
Louletano
2 : 2 Atletico CP
17 Oct
Atletico CP
1 : 0 Vizela
11 Oct
Atletico CP
4 : 1 Caldas SC
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1 Lagoa
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Louletano
2 : 2 Atletico CP
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0 Atletico CP
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4 Atletico CP
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3 Atletico CP
08 Aug
Lusitano GC
0 : 1 Atletico CP
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 14 |
| 3 | AD Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Leca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 5 | SC Vianense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Sao Joao de Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 8 | Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:13 | 9 |
| 9 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 10 | Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:15 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:6 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Santarem | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 13 |
| 4 | Mafra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 12 |
| 5 | Caldas SC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 7 | Louletano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 8 | Vitoria Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 9 | Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Lusitano GC | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:11 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
