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Cowdenbeath vs Bonnyrigg Rose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cowdenbeath host Bonnyrigg Rose in the Lowland League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Cowdenbeath at 1.65 goals for, 1.45 against; Bonnyrigg Rose at 2.26 for, 1.39 against. Past meetings favor Bonnyrigg Rose slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 13, 2025, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.75) point toward Bonnyrigg Rose. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cowdenbeath
15%
Draws
42%
Bonnyrigg Rose
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cowdenbeath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bonnyrigg Rose come out ahead of Cowdenbeath on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Cowdenbeath taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bonnyrigg Rose have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cowdenbeath Clean Sheet 12%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cowdenbeath Bonnyrigg Rose
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.65 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Cowdenbeath
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Bonnyrigg Rose
2:1
May 14, 2022 League Two
Cowdenbeath vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:1
May 7, 2022 League Two
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Cowdenbeath
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cowdenbeath 38 / 100
Bonnyrigg Rose 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cowdenbeath Bonnyrigg Rose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cowdenbeath Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cowdenbeath scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Bonnyrigg Rose's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Cowdenbeath stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cowdenbeath VS Bonnyrigg Rose
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cowdenbeath

(Home)
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0
Berwick
26 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3
Clyde
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1
Lochee United
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
Page 1 of 7

Bonnyrigg Rose

(Away)
03 Oct
Clachnacuddin
2 : 0
Bonnyrigg Rose
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0
Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1
Stirling University
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)