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Stadium Background

Cowdenbeath vs Celtic B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Central Park, Cowdenbeath
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Cowdenbeath have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Celtic B's 2.57 scored and 1.9 conceded. Head-to-head, Cowdenbeath have won 1 to Celtic B's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.94) point toward Celtic B. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cowdenbeath
20%
Draws
29%
Celtic B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cowdenbeath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celtic B lately — more wins on the board than Cowdenbeath.
  • Model gives Cowdenbeath a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Celtic B arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cowdenbeath, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Cowdenbeath Clean Sheet 10%
Celtic B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cowdenbeath Celtic B
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.53 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Lowland League
Celtic B vs Cowdenbeath
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Celtic B
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Lowland League
Celtic B vs Cowdenbeath
6:4
Nov 2, 2024 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Celtic B
2:2
Dec 9, 2023 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Celtic B
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cowdenbeath 65 / 100
Celtic B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cowdenbeath Celtic B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cowdenbeath Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic B let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Cowdenbeath scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Cowdenbeath remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cowdenbeath VS Celtic B
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Cowdenbeath

(Home)
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0
Berwick
26 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3
Clyde
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1
Lochee United
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
Page 1 of 7

Celtic B

(Away)
26 Sept
Clachnacuddin
3 : 3
Celtic B
22 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 3
Celtic B
19 Sept
Gretna 2008
3 : 1
Celtic B
15 Sept
Celtic B
2 : 0
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
4 : 0
Celtic B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)