Sport Picks
Cowdenbeath vs East Kilbride - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup Central Park, Cowdenbeath 
Match Events
6'
6'
McGrattan L.
Assist: Elliott C.
42'
42'
Williamson M.
77'
77'
McGrattan L.
Assist: Zaid M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cowdenbeath
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Cowdenbeath haven't matched East Kilbride's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- East Kilbride arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor East Kilbride, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and East Kilbride have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Cowdenbeath Clean Sheet 68%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cowdenbeath | East Kilbride |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 2.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 Challenge Cup
Cowdenbeath vs East Kilbride
1:3
Oct 16, 2024 Lowland League
East Kilbride vs Cowdenbeath
8:3
Aug 17, 2024 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs East Kilbride
1:4
Feb 10, 2024 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs East Kilbride
1:2
Aug 26, 2023 Lowland League
East Kilbride vs Cowdenbeath
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cowdenbeath Compare
Top Goalscorer Williamson M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
East Kilbride Compare
Top Goalscorer McGrattan L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cowdenbeath 41 / 100
East Kilbride 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cowdenbeath East Kilbride
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cowdenbeath Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 5.80 goals when they meet.
Cowdenbeath scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: East Kilbride conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.
Cowdenbeath went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cowdenbeath VS East Kilbride
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Cowdenbeath
(Home) 03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0 Berwick
26 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3 Clyde
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0 Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1 Lochee United
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0 East Stirlingshire
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0 Berwick
26 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3 Clyde
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1 Lochee United
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0 East Stirlingshire
08 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 2 Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 3
East Kilbride
(Away) 10 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 2 Airdrieonians
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3 East Kilbride
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3 East Kilbride
22 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 3 Celtic B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2 East Kilbride
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3 East Kilbride
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3 East Kilbride
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2 East Kilbride
29 Aug
Ross County
4 : 0 East Kilbride
25 Aug
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3 East Kilbride
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
