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Cowdenbeath vs East Stirlingshire - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
McLean P.
Assist: Mauchin D.
25' Event
Williamson M.
Assist: Mwangi B.
70'
Webb A.

AI Match Summary

Cowdenbeath in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cowdenbeath.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cowdenbeath
15%
Draws
0%
East Stirlingshire
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cowdenbeath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • East Stirlingshire haven't matched Cowdenbeath's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Cowdenbeath taking it.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cowdenbeath Clean Sheet 17%
East Stirlingshire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cowdenbeath East Stirlingshire
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.54 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs East Stirlingshire
2:0
Jan 24, 2026 Lowland League
East Stirlingshire vs Cowdenbeath
1:4
Oct 4, 2025 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs East Stirlingshire
1:4
Jan 4, 2025 Lowland League
East Stirlingshire vs Cowdenbeath
3:1
Dec 28, 2024 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs East Stirlingshire
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cowdenbeath Compare

Top Goalscorer McLean P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williamson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

East Stirlingshire Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cowdenbeath 48 / 100
East Stirlingshire 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cowdenbeath East Stirlingshire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cowdenbeath Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: East Stirlingshire conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

East Stirlingshire's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Cowdenbeath scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Cowdenbeath VS East Stirlingshire
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cowdenbeath

(Home)
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0
Berwick
26 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3
Clyde
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1
Lochee United
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
Page 1 of 6

East Stirlingshire

(Away)
03 Oct
Bonnyton Thistle
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
26 Sept
East Stirlingshire
1 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
19 Sept
Boness United
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
12 Sept
East Stirlingshire
2 : 4
Linlithgow Rose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)