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Cowdenbeath vs Kilmarnock B Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Central Park, Cowdenbeath
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Denham J.
Own Goal
60' Event
Denham J.
Assist: Milne L.
89' Event
Simpson N.
Assist: Law A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cowdenbeath
15%
Draws
26%
Kilmarnock B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cowdenbeath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Kilmarnock B haven't matched Cowdenbeath's recent run of results.
  • Cowdenbeath are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Cowdenbeath have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kilmarnock B, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Kilmarnock B have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Cowdenbeath Clean Sheet 68%
Kilmarnock B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cowdenbeath Kilmarnock B
Matches Played 32 17
Wins 10 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.56 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.99 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Challenge Cup
Cowdenbeath vs Kilmarnock B
1:2
Jul 30, 2024 Challenge Cup
Cowdenbeath vs Kilmarnock B
4:2
Aug 9, 2022 Challenge Cup
Kilmarnock B vs Cowdenbeath
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cowdenbeath Compare

Top Goalscorer Denham J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.99

Kilmarnock B Compare

Top Goalscorer Simpson N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cowdenbeath 95 / 100
Kilmarnock B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cowdenbeath Kilmarnock B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cowdenbeath Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kilmarnock B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Cowdenbeath scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: Cowdenbeath remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cowdenbeath VS Kilmarnock B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.6
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.6
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Cowdenbeath

(Home)
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0
Berwick
26 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3
Clyde
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1
Lochee United
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
Page 1 of 7

Kilmarnock B

(Away)
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0
Kilmarnock B
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
08 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 2
Kilmarnock B
25 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
1 : 1
Kilmarnock B
11 Aug
East Kilbride
5 : 3
Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)