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Cowdenbeath vs Lochee United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mauchin D.
Assist: Williamson M.
37' Event
Clark R.
Assist: Coupe C.
48' Event
Wedderburn N.

AI Match Summary

Cowdenbeath in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cowdenbeath.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Cowdenbeath
15%
Draws
37%
Lochee United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cowdenbeath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lochee United have won more games recently than Cowdenbeath.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Cowdenbeath taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Cowdenbeath Clean Sheet 10%
Lochee United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cowdenbeath Lochee United
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.54 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Lochee United
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cowdenbeath Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauchin D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wedderburn N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lochee United Compare

Top Goalscorer Clark R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cowdenbeath 40 / 100
Lochee United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cowdenbeath Lochee United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lochee United conceded in 88% of 24 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Cowdenbeath's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cowdenbeath stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cowdenbeath VS Lochee United
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cowdenbeath

(Home)
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0
Berwick
26 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3
Clyde
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1
Lochee United
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
Page 1 of 6

Lochee United

(Away)
03 Oct
Lochee United
3 : 2
Inverurie Loco Works
26 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 1
Lochee United
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1
Lochee United
15 Sept
Lochee United
5 : 0
Boness United
12 Sept
Lochee United
1 : 2
Brechin
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)