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Coxim vs Ivinhema

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Sul-Matogrossense 2025
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Match Events

53' Event
Elieser
90' Event
Dodo

AI Match Summary

Ivinhema in this Sul-Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ivinhema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Coxim
30%
Draws
29%
Ivinhema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coxim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Coxim haven't matched Ivinhema's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Coxim taking it.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Coxim Clean Sheet 16%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coxim Ivinhema
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Ivinhema
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coxim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Ivinhema Compare

Top Goalscorer Elieser
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dodo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coxim 41 / 100
Ivinhema 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coxim Ivinhema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivinhema let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Coxim has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Coxim scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ivinhema
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coxim

(Home)
02 Mar
Coxim
0 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Coxim
16 Feb
Coxim
2 : 1
Aguia Negra
09 Feb
Coxim
0 : 2
Ivinhema
05 Feb
Dourados
2 : 2
Coxim
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Ivinhema

(Away)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivinhema 9 6 1 2 21:7 19
2 Pantanal 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
3 Dourados 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
4 Operario MS 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
5 Costa Rica 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Aguia Negra 9 3 2 4 14:14 11
7 Naviraiense 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Corumbaense 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
9 Coxim 9 2 1 6 7:18 7
10 Aquidauanense 9 1 1 7 12:29 4
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 (Main)