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Coxim vs Pantanal

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Vinicius Machado
37' Event
Cleiton

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2024 game between Coxim and Pantanal finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Coxim
30%
Draws
16%
Pantanal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coxim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Coxim haven't matched Pantanal's recent run of results.
  • Coxim are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Pantanal have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Coxim Clean Sheet 16%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coxim Pantanal
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 12
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Coxim
4:1
Feb 18, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Coxim
2:1
Jan 21, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Pantanal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coxim Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleiton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pantanal Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Machado
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coxim 39 / 100
Pantanal 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coxim Pantanal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coxim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Pantanal has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Coxim went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Pantanal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coxim VS Pantanal
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coxim

(Home)
02 Mar
Coxim
0 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Coxim
16 Feb
Coxim
2 : 1
Aguia Negra
09 Feb
Coxim
0 : 2
Ivinhema
05 Feb
Dourados
2 : 2
Coxim
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Pantanal

(Away)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 8 6 2 0 14:3 20
2 Coxim 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
3 Pantanal 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Costa Rica 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
5 Nautico MS 8 0 0 8 6:21 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
2 Aquidauanense 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Corumbaense 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
4 Ivinhema 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
5 Novoperario 8 1 3 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)