Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CP Almeria vs Atletico de Porcuna

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Estrella J.
66' Event
Fernandez I.
82' Event
Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

Atletico de Porcuna in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico de Porcuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CP Almeria
39%
Draws
30%
Atletico de Porcuna
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico de Porcuna have won more games recently than CP Almeria.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CP Almeria Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CP Almeria Atletico de Porcuna
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Atletico de Porcuna
1:2
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs CP Almeria
5:1
Jan 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Atletico de Porcuna
3:1
Dec 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs CP Almeria
1:2
Feb 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Atletico de Porcuna
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CP Almeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Atletico de Porcuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrella J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CP Almeria 32 / 100
Atletico de Porcuna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CP Almeria Atletico de Porcuna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

CP Almeria's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atletico de Porcuna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Atletico de Porcuna's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico de Porcuna
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Malaga B34265376:2283
2Jaen34227560:3573
3Motril34187957:3561
4Torre del Mar34187948:3061
5Huetor Tajar341761135:2857
6Huetor Vega34169949:3657
7Mijas Las Lagunas341412853:3554
8CD Torreperogil3413111042:3750
9Mancha341371437:3946
10Marbelli341191432:4242
11El Palo3410111336:4941
12Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3410101443:4440
13Arenas Armilla349111440:4938
14Martos341151828:4138
15Atletico de Porcuna34991645:5536
16Ejido34762136:6827
17CP Almeria34722535:7523
18Malaga City34562331:6321