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CR Flamengo W vs Atletico-MG W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Luso Brasileiro, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Djeni
35' Event
Djeni
41' Event
Kaylane

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between CR Flamengo W and Atletico-MG W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CR Flamengo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CR Flamengo W
20%
Draws
47%
Atletico-MG W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico-MG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CR Flamengo W come out ahead of Atletico-MG W on wins alone.
  • Atletico-MG W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CR Flamengo W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
CR Flamengo W Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CR Flamengo W Atletico-MG W
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.79 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Brasileiro Women
CR Flamengo W vs Atletico-MG W
4:1
Mar 29, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs CR Flamengo W
2:3
Mar 17, 2023 Brasileiro Women
CR Flamengo W vs Atletico-MG W
1:0
Jun 20, 2022 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs CR Flamengo W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CR Flamengo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Djeni
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kaylane
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Atletico-MG W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CR Flamengo W 10 / 100
Atletico-MG W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CR Flamengo W Atletico-MG W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CR Flamengo W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Atletico-MG W conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CR Flamengo W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CR Flamengo W VS Atletico-MG W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CR Flamengo W

(Home)
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Ferroviaria W
2 : 2
CR Flamengo W
29 Aug
CR Flamengo W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
Page 1 of 6

Atletico-MG W

(Away)
02 Oct
Araguari W
0 : 11
Atletico-MG W
26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0
Democrata GV W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)