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CR Flamengo W vs Bahia W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Luso Brasileiro
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CR Flamengo W play Bahia W in the Brasileiro Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, CR Flamengo W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Bahia W averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, CR Flamengo W won 2, Bahia W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 21, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for CR Flamengo W and 1.50 for Bahia W. This points to a CR Flamengo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
CR Flamengo W
17%
Draws
13%
Bahia W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CR Flamengo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Bahia W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CR Flamengo W.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for CR Flamengo W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Brasileiro Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
CR Flamengo W Clean Sheet 16%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CR Flamengo W Bahia W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 21
Draws 8 3
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Brasileiro Women
CR Flamengo W vs Bahia W
1:3
Mar 27, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs CR Flamengo W
3:3
Apr 22, 2023 Brasileiro Women
CR Flamengo W vs Bahia W
1:0
May 2, 2021 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs CR Flamengo W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CR Flamengo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nubia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bahia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassia
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ellen Santana
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CR Flamengo W 66 / 100
Bahia W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CR Flamengo W Bahia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CR Flamengo W scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Bahia W let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CR Flamengo W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bahia W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CR Flamengo W VS Bahia W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians W1291231:1328
2Palmeiras W1283127:1027
3Sao Paulo W1282219:826
4Ferroviaria W1264219:1222
5CR Flamengo W1264219:1322
6Bahia W1263322:1621
7Cruzeiro W1256123:1421
8Internacional W1262413:1020
9Gremio W1252517:1217
10Bragantino W1252519:2017
11Fluminense W1244414:1416
12Santos W1235412:1514
13Atletico-MG W1233614:1612
14EC Juventude W122377:129
15Mixto W121478:247
16America Mineiro W121386:256
17Botafogo RJ W111287:225
18Vitoria W110387:283