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CR Flamengo W vs Penarol W

South America South America

Brasil Ladies Cup Women Estádio Brinco de Ouro, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mariana
21' Event
Fernanda
33' Event
Fernanda

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CR Flamengo W
15%
Draws
0%
Penarol W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CR Flamengo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CR Flamengo W have won more games recently than Penarol W.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on CR Flamengo W taking it.
  • CR Flamengo W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CR Flamengo W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
CR Flamengo W Clean Sheet 68%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CR Flamengo W Penarol W
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 15 1
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.8 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Brasil Ladies Cup Women
CR Flamengo W vs Penarol W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CR Flamengo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernanda
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mariana
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Penarol W Compare

Top Goalscorer Magallanes T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CR Flamengo W 95 / 100
Penarol W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CR Flamengo W Penarol W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CR Flamengo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CR Flamengo W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Penarol W has conceded goals in 81% of their last 16 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Penarol W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CR Flamengo W VS Penarol W
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CR Flamengo W

(Home)
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Ferroviaria W
2 : 2
CR Flamengo W
29 Aug
CR Flamengo W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
Page 1 of 6

Penarol W

(Away)
12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2
Paraguay W
09 Jul
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Penarol W
19 Oct
Penarol W
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P. W
16 Oct
Gremio W
2 : 0
Penarol W
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
2 : 0
Penarol W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CR Flamengo W 4
Penarol W 1
Palmeiras W 3
Paraguay W 0
Final
CR Flamengo W 1
Palmeiras W 3
Penarol W 1
Paraguay W 2