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CR Flamengo W vs Penarol W

South America South America

Brasil Ladies Cup Women Estádio Brinco de Ouro
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mariana
21' Event
Fernanda
33' Event
Fernanda

AI Match Summary

CR Flamengo W in this Brasil Ladies Cup Women matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CR Flamengo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
CR Flamengo W
6%
Draws
4%
Penarol W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CR Flamengo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CR Flamengo W have won more games recently than Penarol W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on CR Flamengo W taking it.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
CR Flamengo W Clean Sheet 68%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CR Flamengo W Penarol W
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 18 1
Draws 8 5
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Brasil Ladies Cup Women
CR Flamengo W vs Penarol W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CR Flamengo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernanda
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mariana
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Penarol W Compare

Top Goalscorer Magallanes T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CR Flamengo W 95 / 100
Penarol W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CR Flamengo W Penarol W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CR Flamengo W scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Penarol W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 15 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

CR Flamengo W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CR Flamengo W VS Penarol W
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CR Flamengo W4
Penarol W1
Palmeiras W3
Paraguay W0
Final
CR Flamengo W-
Palmeiras W-
Penarol W-
Paraguay W-