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CR Flamengo W vs Sao Paulo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Luso Brasileiro, Rio de Janeiro
CR Flamengo W Logo

CR Flamengo W

1 - 3
FT
Sao Paulo W Logo

Sao Paulo W

Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Sub
Djeni In: Anna Luiza
Out: Djeni
46'
Sub
Aline In: Vi Amaral
Out: Aline
53' Event
Mariana
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CR Flamengo W
20%
Draws
52%
Sao Paulo W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Paulo W have won more games recently than CR Flamengo W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Sao Paulo W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Paulo W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sao Paulo W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
CR Flamengo W Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CR Flamengo W Sao Paulo W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 22
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.75 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs CR Flamengo W
1:0
Sep 12, 2026 Brasileiro Women
CR Flamengo W vs Sao Paulo W
1:3
May 5, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs CR Flamengo W
2:1
Sep 17, 2025 Copa do Brasil Women
Sao Paulo W vs CR Flamengo W
1:0
Mar 25, 2025 Brasileiro Women
CR Flamengo W vs Sao Paulo W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CR Flamengo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariana
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sao Paulo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mylena Carioca
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robinha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CR Flamengo W 41 / 100
Sao Paulo W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CR Flamengo W Sao Paulo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CR Flamengo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CR Flamengo W scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

CR Flamengo W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sao Paulo W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

CR Flamengo W VS Sao Paulo W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CR Flamengo W

(Home)
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Ferroviaria W
2 : 2
CR Flamengo W
29 Aug
CR Flamengo W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
Page 1 of 7

Sao Paulo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sao Paulo W 2
Gremio W 0
Ferroviaria W 2
CR Flamengo W 3
Corinthians W 4
Cruzeiro W 1
Palmeiras W 2
Bahia W 3
Semi-finals
Sao Paulo W 4
CR Flamengo W 1
Corinthians W 2
Bahia W 0
Final
Sao Paulo W 3
Corinthians W 2