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CRAC vs Nacional MG

Brazil Brazil

Série D 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Série D 2012 game between CRAC and Nacional MG finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CRAC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CRAC
33%
Draws
27%
Nacional MG
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CRAC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacional MG carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CRAC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Série D 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CRAC Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional MG Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CRAC Nacional MG
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2012 Serie D
CRAC vs Nacional MG
1:0
Sep 2, 2012 Serie D
Nacional MG vs CRAC
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CRAC 40 / 100
Nacional MG 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CRAC Nacional MG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional MG has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: CRAC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Nacional MG registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CRAC VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mogi Mirim2
CA Metropolitano2
SE Juventude3
Cianorte4
Nacional MG2
CRAC2
Ceilandia1
Friburguense2
Campinense2
CSA1
Sousa0
Baraunas3
Mixto3
Remo2
Vilhena3
Sampaio Correa6
Quarter-finals
Mogi Mirim4
Cianorte3
CRAC3
Friburguense3
Campinense1
Baraunas3
Mixto1
Sampaio Correa1
Semi-finals
Mogi Mirim1
CRAC3
Baraunas1
Sampaio Correa2
Final
CRAC1
Sampaio Correa3