Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cracovia II vs Chelmianka Chelm

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Banaszewski M.
26' Event
Mustafaev R.
54' Event
Kuzdra J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cracovia II
33%
Draws
40%
Chelmianka Chelm
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Chelmianka Chelm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cracovia II haven't matched Chelmianka Chelm's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Chelmianka Chelm taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Cracovia II Clean Sheet 10%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cracovia II Chelmianka Chelm
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Cracovia II vs Chelmianka Chelm
3:3
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Cracovia II
2:1
Apr 6, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Cracovia II vs Chelmianka Chelm
1:1
Sep 3, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Cracovia II
1:3
May 14, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Cracovia II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cracovia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mustafaev R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Selan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chelmianka Chelm Compare

Top Goalscorer Banaszewski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kuzdra J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cracovia II 26 / 100
Chelmianka Chelm 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cracovia II Chelmianka Chelm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Cracovia II scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Chelmianka Chelm has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Cracovia II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cracovia II VS Chelmianka Chelm
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cracovia II

(Home)
18 Jul
Cracovia II
1 : 3
Z. Moravce-Vrable
30 May
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
5 : 6
Cracovia II
23 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
17 May
Cracovia II
3 : 3
Chelmianka Chelm
13 May
Wisla II
3 : 1
Cracovia II
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Chelmianka Chelm

(Away)
18 Jul
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Hetman Zamosc
11 Jul
Leczna
4 : 1
Chelmianka Chelm
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1
Chelmianka Chelm
30 May
Wisloka Debica
1 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
23 May
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 0
Naprzod Jedrzejow
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)