Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cracovia II vs Korona Kielce II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Tobola K.
45' Event
Dej W.
86'
Turek K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Cracovia II and Korona Kielce II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cracovia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cracovia II
44%
Draws
20%
Korona Kielce II
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Korona Kielce II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cracovia II Clean Sheet 10%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cracovia II Korona Kielce II
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Cracovia II vs Korona Kielce II
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Cracovia II
1:2
Apr 29, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Cracovia II vs Korona Kielce II
1:4
Sep 24, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Cracovia II
0:0
Apr 3, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Cracovia II vs Korona Kielce II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cracovia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Dej W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zoladz W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Korona Kielce II Compare

Top Goalscorer Tobola K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cracovia II 34 / 100
Korona Kielce II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cracovia II Korona Kielce II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce II has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Cracovia II found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Cracovia II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cracovia II VS Korona Kielce II
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013