Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

LKS Lagow

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cracovia II play LKS Lagow in the III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cracovia II averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. LKS Lagow averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Cracovia II won 1, LKS Lagow won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Cracovia II and 1.44 for LKS Lagow. This points to a LKS Lagow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Cracovia II

21%

Draws

43%

LKS Lagow

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: LKS Lagow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Cracovia II picked up more points recently compared to LKS Lagow.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 74%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Cracovia II Clean Sheet 16%

LKS Lagow Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cracovia II	LKS Lagow
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	10
Draws	6	2
Losses	17	18
Goals Scored	1.33	0.8
Goals Conceded	2.03	2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2023 III Liga - Group IV

Cracovia II vs LKS Lagow

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Oct 23, 2022 III Liga - Group IV

LKS Lagow vs Cracovia II

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

May 22, 2022 III Liga - Group IV

Cracovia II vs LKS Lagow

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Oct 17, 2021 III Liga - Group IV

LKS Lagow vs Cracovia II

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

May 19, 2021 III Liga - Group IV

LKS Lagow vs Cracovia II

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cracovia II 36 / 100

LKS Lagow 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cracovia II LKS Lagow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: LKS Lagow or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.47

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cracovia II attacking → ← attacking LKS Lagow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cracovia II scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

LKS Lagow let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Cracovia II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

LKS Lagow lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 32

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stal Stalowa Wola	34	23	5	6	72:27	74
2	Avia Swidnik	34	19	11	4	58:26	68
3	KS Wieczysta Krakow	34	20	7	7	75:35	67
4	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	17	7	10	61:36	58
5	Biala Podlaska	34	14	13	7	63:42	55
6	Cracovia II	34	16	6	12	69:48	54
7	Wisloka Debica	34	15	7	12	54:46	52
8	Sokol Sieniawa	34	14	6	14	57:65	48
9	Czarni Polaniec	34	15	2	17	47:58	47
10	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	13	6	15	59:47	45
11	Orleta Radzyn	34	13	4	17	44:63	43
12	Chelmianka Chelm	34	10	10	14	45:47	40
13	Unia Tarnow	34	10	10	14	43:66	40
14	Wiazownica	34	11	7	16	49:59	40
15	Korona Kielce II	34	10	9	15	63:58	39
16	Sandomierz	34	7	6	21	40:91	27
17	Lublinianka	34	7	2	25	43:92	23
18	LKS Lagow	34	11	4	19	27:63	37