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Stadium Background

Cracovia vs Motor Lublin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego, Kraków
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cracovia host Motor Lublin in the Ekstraklasa. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Cracovia at 1.21 goals for, 1.52 against; Motor Lublin at 1.61 for, 1.36 against. Past meetings favor Cracovia slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.88, favoring Motor Lublin. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cracovia
20%
Draws
51%
Motor Lublin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Motor Lublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Motor Lublin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cracovia Clean Sheet 10%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cracovia Motor Lublin
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Cracovia
3:3
Nov 22, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Cracovia vs Motor Lublin
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Cracovia
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Cracovia vs Motor Lublin
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cracovia 34 / 100
Motor Lublin 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cracovia Motor Lublin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motor Lublin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Cracovia's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Motor Lublin let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Cracovia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cracovia VS Motor Lublin
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cracovia

(Home)
17 Oct
Cracovia
1 : 1
Legia
10 Oct
Cracovia
3 : 1
Zaglebie
03 Oct
Cracovia
2 : 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet
19 Sept
GKS Katowice
3 : 2
Cracovia
13 Sept
Wisla Plock
3 : 1
Cracovia
Page 1 of 6

Motor Lublin

(Away)
17 Oct
Motor Lublin
3 : 2
Slask Wroclaw
12 Oct
Radomiak Radom
2 : 3
Motor Lublin
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1
Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 11 8 2 1 20:10 26
2 Lech Poznan 10 8 1 1 27:9 25
3 Legia 11 6 5 0 22:9 23
4 Pogon Szczecin 10 6 3 1 15:6 21
5 GKS Katowice 11 6 0 5 22:16 18
6 Wisla 11 5 3 3 17:14 18
7 Zaglebie 11 5 3 3 13:13 18
8 Piast Gliwice 11 5 2 4 19:17 17
9 Korona Kielce 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
10 Wisla Plock 10 4 2 4 10:15 14
11 Cracovia 11 3 3 5 13:16 12
12 Motor Lublin 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
13 Jagiellonia 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
14 Widzew Lodz 11 1 7 3 14:15 10
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow 11 2 2 7 16:21 8
16 Radomiak Radom 11 2 2 7 9:24 8
17 Slask Wroclaw 11 1 3 7 14:22 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 11 2 0 9 15:26 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)