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Crateus vs Caucaia

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Davi Ceara
80' Event
Chaparral
90' Event
Santos de Oliveira E.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Crateus and Caucaia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crateus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Crateus
20%
Draws
23%
Caucaia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Crateus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Crateus a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Crateus Clean Sheet 20%
Caucaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crateus Caucaia
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.58 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Cearense 2
Crateus vs Caucaia
3:0
Mar 14, 2026 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Crateus
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crateus Compare

Top Goalscorer Davi Ceara
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chaparral
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Caucaia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crateus 76 / 100
Caucaia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crateus Caucaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crateus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Caucaia conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Crateus went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Caucaia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crateus VS Caucaia
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crateus

(Home)
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Crateus
Page 1 of 4

Caucaia

(Away)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Caucaia
1 : 1
Atletico Cearense
10 May
Itapipoca
0 : 1
Caucaia
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
18 Apr
Crateus
3 : 0
Caucaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)