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Crateus vs Itapipoca

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Sousa F.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Crateus and Itapipoca finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itapipoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Crateus
30%
Draws
31%
Itapipoca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itapipoca come out ahead of Crateus on wins alone.
  • Crateus are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Crateus Clean Sheet 20%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crateus Itapipoca
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.58 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Crateus
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Cearense 2
Crateus vs Itapipoca
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crateus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crateus 42 / 100
Itapipoca 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crateus Itapipoca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Itapipoca conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Crateus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Crateus found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (19 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Crateus VS Itapipoca
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crateus

(Home)
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Crateus
Page 1 of 4

Itapipoca

(Away)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)