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Crateus vs Itapipoca

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Sousa F.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Crateus and Itapipoca finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itapipoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Crateus
30%
Draws
31%
Itapipoca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itapipoca come out ahead of Crateus on wins alone.
  • Crateus are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Crateus Clean Sheet 20%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crateus Itapipoca
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.58 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Crateus
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Cearense 2
Crateus vs Itapipoca
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crateus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crateus 42 / 100
Itapipoca 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crateus Itapipoca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Itapipoca conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Crateus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Crateus found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (19 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Crateus VS Itapipoca
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crateus

(Home)
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Crateus
Page 1 of 4

Itapipoca

(Away)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)